Midterm Elections predictions

siggy-Hatch wrote:
I get razzed on for following polls, but is the new thing this
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7016/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Pennsylvania-in-2022

PredictIt is not a poll and its userbase skews Republican.

Julian, wrote:

siggy-Hatch wrote:
I get razzed on for following polls, but is the new thing this
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7016/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Pennsylvania-in-2022

PredictIt is not a poll and its userbase skews Republican.

I know that

Starsky wrote:
If Fetterman insisted on staying in he should have never agreed to a debate. It would have hurt him less and he might have pulled off the win. I will be shocked if he wins. I sure hope he does.

Since when does the electorate actually watch senate debates
I guarantee zero undecided voters did
Only cavet is all the clips get out there like they didn't in the past, so it's easy to get bombarded with really bad clips…like that fracking one

I predict he will pull this out, are we making bets?

A candidate not being fit for office is an issue. Rightly or wrongly most people see public speaking as part of the job.

On the other hand, Trump was elected president….

Sure, next week we can get our crystal balls out of the closet.

I need to set the record straight; I often say Cotton ran unopposed…it is just that a democrat didn't run against him in 2020 (guy droped out 2 hours after the dead line https://www.arkansasonline.com/news/2019/nov/12/josh-mahony-drops-out-us-senate-race/)

but there was an independent who actually got 400k votes (to cottons 800k)

Tom Cotton (R)                   66.5 793,871
Ricky Dale Harrington Jr. (L) 33.5 399,390


but doesn't really matter, looked at polling for dems in AK and AR this round …both have 1 in 100 chance (and that's optimistic) of wining
D might as well just stand for devil in the south