grateful
Joined: October 15, 2008 at 05:01 AM UTC
Posts: 11564
The Final Thread: Countdown to the Asteroid Apocalypse 2032
February 14, 2025 at 05:56 PM UTC
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NASA said last week that there is currently a 2.3% (or 1 in 43) chance that the asteroid, dubbed 2024 YR4, will hit Earth on Dec. 22, 2032. While still tiny, that probability nearly doubled from the agency’s initial estimate of 1.2% in late January.
https://www.nbcnews.com/science/space/nasa-says-yes-asteroid-buzzing-2032-hit-earth-rcna191951
Hutch
Joined: February 23, 2023 at 09:34 PM UTC
Posts: 6264
Re: The Final Thread: Countdown to the Asteroid Apocalypse 2032
February 14, 2025 at 06:04 PM UTC
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To me that seems really high!
grateful
Joined: October 15, 2008 at 05:01 AM UTC
Posts: 11564
Re: The Final Thread: Countdown to the Asteroid Apocalypse 2032
February 14, 2025 at 07:15 PM UTC
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Its the highest on the official list:
https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: The Final Thread: Countdown to the Asteroid Apocalypse 2032
February 14, 2025 at 09:13 PM UTC
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grateful wrote:
Its the highest on the official list:
https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/
and here I always thought the Palermo scale was for weighing out your pasta alla Norma
grateful
Joined: October 15, 2008 at 05:01 AM UTC
Posts: 11564
Re: The Final Thread: Countdown to the Asteroid Apocalypse 2032
February 18, 2025 at 06:46 PM UTC
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This trajectory takes it over eight of the top 100 most populated cities in the world: Bogotá, Abidjan, Lagos, Khartoum, Mumbai, Kolkata and Dhaka.
The urban area of these cities alone have a combined population of more than 110 million, with the destructive potential of Asteroid 2024 YR4 equivalent to 8 million tons of TNT – roughly 500 times the power of the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima.
https://www.independent.co.uk/space/asteroid-2024-yr4-nasa-risk-corridor-b2699847.html
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: The Final Thread: Countdown to the Asteroid Apocalypse 2032
February 18, 2025 at 07:33 PM UTC
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jeffml
Joined: April 18, 2005 at 05:01 AM UTC
Posts: 2267
Re: The Final Thread: Countdown to the Asteroid Apocalypse 2032
February 19, 2025 at 02:04 PM UTC
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So we'll be ok in the DMV. I just hope it doesn't raise egg prices any higher than where they are currently.
grateful wrote:
This trajectory takes it over eight of the top 100 most populated cities in the world: Bogotá, Abidjan, Lagos, Khartoum, Mumbai, Kolkata and Dhaka.
The urban area of these cities alone have a combined population of more than 110 million, with the destructive potential of Asteroid 2024 YR4 equivalent to 8 million tons of TNT – roughly 500 times the power of the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima.
https://www.independent.co.uk/space/asteroid-2024-yr4-nasa-risk-corridor-b2699847.html