The Spring Classic 2020 Edition

Given the lack of sports “glad” to see this competition has not been shut down

Current board as of March 25 looks like the following


Maryland leads with 349
Virginia , which was ahead, has fallen behind and finds itself at 290
DC trails far behind with 183

A great day for VA which made up most of its deficit!!

Current standings
MD 425
VA. 397
DC. 231

On the side competition (really about bragging - no trophy-rights though)

VA 9
MD 4
DC 3

Dude. What the hell are you talking about? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Stick to Michigan sports…

Updated results from the Corona Cup


MD 583
VA 468
DC 267

This thread makes me queezy.

US deaths on Saturday: 525
US deaths on Sunday: 264

What are the odds of death rate being cut in half from one day to the next?

Number of new US cases also went from 19.4K to 18.4K Saturday vs. Sunday.

Italy also has gone from 919 deaths Friday to 899 Saturday (I could be slightly off on those) to 756 Sunday.

Some people don't work on the weekends. Counts will spike on Monday and Tuesday.

Who do we believe?

Dr. Fauci forecasts that loss of American life could be in the 100,000-200,000 range. Whereas:

Neil Ferguson of Imperial College in Britain….
Ferguson had co-written a paper this month estimating 510,000 deaths in England and 2.2 million in the United States — if those countries did not take drastic actions. (numbers cut in half with social distancing)

So once people DO go back to work, and people do start travelling again, how does this not start right back up? 200K (or less) will die, but what assumptions are made to keep that number from growing to 2.2 million?



Mr. Fauci said he was joined in the meeting by Dr. Deborah L. Birx, the lead coordinator of the White House’s coronavirus task force.

She told reporters on Sunday that even with precautions and restrictions, the government’s model estimated “between 80,000 and 160,000, maybe even potentially 200,000 people, succumbing” to Covid-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus.

She added that without any precautionary measures, the same models projected that 1.6 million to 2.2 million Americans could die from complications of the virus.

“Some of them predicted half of the United States would get infected,” she said.

Dr. Birx acknowledged that it was a huge sacrifice for Americans to stay home another month, but she said the measures had “potential to save hundreds of thousands of American lives.”

Maryland is very concerning to me….it’s seemingly not flattening…Anyone know if these cases are mainly still in MoCo and PG?

17,666 cases (+1150)
875 deaths (+77)

Virginia
12366 (+772)
436 (+26)

DC
3699 (+171)
165 (+12)

The MD situation means our area is likely to maybe remain in the current stay at home situation through at least June

MD +1730 cases today
VA +1055


Our region is definitely looking like a hot spot now

:(

hutch wrote:
MD +1730 cases today
VA +1055


Our region is definitely looking like a hot spot now

:(

Now?

Yes now

An area that will soon join NY, NJ, WA, LA, IL, MI

PA also coming up

For it to be a hot spot generally I expect a hundred plus people dying a day

I mean my mom thinks Argentina is a hot spot but they have a total of 200 deaths so far…

Wow VA and MD seem to be going in different directions


MD 338 new cases 13 new deaths
DC 624 new cases 25 new deaths

(DC trends correlate more with MD as always)

I noticed this trend starting to take shape earlier this week

Without specific VA county data it’s hard to know why… VA is a more Republican state.. I have been in two stores recently where people were not wearing masks…I won’t go back to any stores that don’t enforce mask regulations. Unfortunately for me one incident took place at CD Cellar. Guess I will be saving me some money!

In VA, the Dems have all the statewide elected positions (governor et al), both halves of the legislature despite heavy historic gerrymandering to their detriment, and both Senators. A GOP member has not won a statewide election in VA since 2009.

I’m hardpressed to agree VA is “more Republican” than MD (a state with a GOP governor). Both are very, very blue in the year 2020.

Ok how about the fact that outside of NOVA, Richmond and VA Beach?


Does that work?

hutch wrote:
Ok how about the fact that outside of NOVA, Richmond and VA Beach?


Does that work?

And Charlottesville and Roanoke.

A city/rural divide is how every state works including the most liberal ones of all (eg California). Hagerstown and Cumberland and Ocean City aren’t exactly bastions of liberal thought.

Yeah I didn’t think you would go for it but was worth a shot



(Fall on sword emoji)

hutch wrote:
Yeah I didn’t think you would go for it but was worth a shot



(Fall on sword emoji)

ROFL. Appreciate the honesty.