Nostradamus 2020 election edition

hutch wrote:
Turnout: 160 million

Looks like you might take this one…numbers are looking like 158~mil

Not sure what that is percentage-wise as a lot of people put %

Guessing turnout was always the least important guess

I guess it’s a consolation

Still need NC and AZ to finish…also Tillis v Cunningham

I predicted 50-50… that’s not happening

Gideon was such a huge bummer! I still can’t believe it…she led every single poll!

hutch wrote:
Gideon was such a huge bummer! I still can’t believe it…she led every single poll!

This is super annoying. Dems left a legit run at the Senate on the floor between not being able to close on NC and ME. Oh well.

Wtf North Carolina you ever going to count your votes?!?!

Arizona counts 10 votes a day

Alaska is hibernating or something

The lack of give a shit is a bit disturbing

hutch wrote:
Wtf North Carolina you ever going to count your votes?!?!

This is very in line with their state laws. Mailins can continue to come in for (if I am not mistaken) 10 days there and all that come in between election day and that ten day cut off + the Provisionals start getting counted after ten days. They are not supposed to be counting anything right now.

hutch wrote:
Wtf North Carolina you ever going to count your votes?!?!

just saw this

Spiro Agnew’s Ghost@SpiroAgnewGhost
Btw do not forget…that if Biden wins the mail in ballots in NC by 65/35% as he has in many other key states, he will also pull off a squeaker of a win in NC. Probably a 25% chance and why they won’t call the state. They start counting in 2 days there due to antiquated rules.

Side-glitch wrote:

hutch wrote:
Wtf North Carolina you ever going to count your votes?!?!

just saw this

Spiro Agnew’s Ghost@SpiroAgnewGhost
Btw do not forget…that if Biden wins the mail in ballots in NC by 65/35% as he has in many other key states, he will also pull off a squeaker of a win in NC. Probably a 25% chance and why they won’t call the state. They start counting in 2 days there due to antiquated rules.

If this were to happen, I would move from 55 of 56 on Electoral calls to a perfect 56 of 56.

Julian, wrote:

Side-glitch wrote:

hutch wrote:
Wtf North Carolina you ever going to count your votes?!?!

just saw this

Spiro Agnew’s Ghost@SpiroAgnewGhost
Btw do not forget…that if Biden wins the mail in ballots in NC by 65/35% as he has in many other key states, he will also pull off a squeaker of a win in NC. Probably a 25% chance and why they won’t call the state. They start counting in 2 days there due to antiquated rules.

If this were to happen, I would move from 55 of 56 on Electoral calls to a perfect 56 of 56.

I would very much like for this to happen; it will fully and finalllt and truly be Julian's America.

sweetcell wrote:
1. 65% - yeah, you heard me.

so again…we didn't really figure this out…as you (stone the crow..and kinda hutch too) might be the winner on the % but hutch is going to take the actual vote count

The voting-eligible population in the U.S. ahead of the November 3 election was just over 239 million people, according to the U.S. Elections Project, with 160 million people having voted, making 2020 turnout a predicted 66.9 percent.

5. doesn't matter whether the result is clear or not: trump won't accept his loss on tuesday or any other day. 

but answering the question: late tuesday (actually wednesday morning), reputable news outlets will project a biden win but will not be able to confirm it.

you were right on the first part, not the second
Did anyone say Saturday?

hutch wrote:
I am all ears as to who should be proclaimed the winner…

My own view is predicting the electoral college breakdown is the ultimate test..whoever came closest has a strong argument

We don’t know final breakdown yet but 306-232 seems likeliest..

I am all ears.. but if that is split seems like Smackie might be winner but prize defaults to Julian/Sidehatch as Smackie doesn’t like vinyl?

So once dust settles let me know

Well to my chagrin Smackie wins! (294-244 edges out 321-217 as final was 306-232)

Prize defaults to Julian and Sidehatch ties for next closest to electoral vote split

I will ready your record packs and get them out within a couple of weeks  ..gift cards will have to wait until IMP opens up so I can exchange my FWB points for gift cards

hutch wrote:
Well to my chagrin Smackie wins! (294-244 edges out 321-217 as final was 306-232)

Prize defaults to Julian and Sidehatch ties for next closest to electoral vote split

I will ready your record packs and get them out within a couple of weeks  ..gift cards will have to wait until IMP opens up so I can exchange my FWB points for gift cards

I don't want to speak for Sidehatch but I really think Smackie has fairly earned his physical media and renounce any claims to the prize. I will be delighted to help you with his mailing address so he can get the prize he so richly deserves as recompense for his giant electoral brain.

I can’t send records to someone who will throw them in a dumpster!

hutch wrote:
I can’t send records to someone who will throw them in a dumpster!

He would never. And that's why I'm so insistent he get them.

I tell you what…I will send them to you and you can send them to him? Media mail will run about $4

I just don’t think he wants me to have his address…

hutch wrote:
I tell you what…I will send them to you and you can send them to him? Media mail will run about $4

I just don’t think he wants me to have his address…

Perfect. I will be delighted to assist in this fine endeavor.