Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 03:11 PM UTC
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Starsky wrote:
Of course man, once you apologize for saying why is Biden wasting time in Michigan when he could be in Ohio and Florida (we lost those by 15-20 points).
So did that really move the dial in MI?? I mean really…did it do anything?
BTW I was talking about Obama, Biden doesn't get anyone excited
I admitted poor judgment on FL and TX already. last FL for Gov was so freaking close. but Sorry Charlie…what a horrible idea for a candidate. I'm still having trouble accepting that FL is pretty much Red. I spent over 40 years in south east FL, so I keep thinking that's how the state thinks, when that's the minority
Starsky wrote:
And I will wait til all the results are in thank you very much.
wise choice. but figure I could do a small victory lap based on what we know
I just think that losing the house is going to be a shitshow and all we are going to hear about is HUNTER BIDEN and how the US is going to crumble because hunter is such a powerful person and controls everything from his laptop
Starsky
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 03:29 PM UTC
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It’s so hard to tell why people vote the way they do….
But the results seem better than I anticipated…
Doesn’t mean focusing more on the economy and less on Trump/abortion wouldn’t have led to better results. It’s just happened and we are still counting.
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 03:51 PM UTC
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still some votes to count, but people are starting to claim that Lauren Boebert isn't going to win!
this was also interesting…I hope lake loses
@atrupar
Katie Hobbs took a lot of shit for not debating Kari Lake. The conventional wisdom may have been wrong on that one.
I think hutch would have said the same about Fetterman (and looking back, I think it would have been a smarter choice)
also feels good to see Sarah Palin losing in AK
whoa…he is definately running in 2024. this could be the cleaving of the GOP I have fortold for 6 years, but has yet to happen
DeSantis outperformed Trump’s 2020 vote across the entire state, even winning Miami-Dade County with a whopping R+11 margin
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 04:13 PM UTC
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Damn, why do dems keep putting losers in charge of their orgs
New York: Sean Patrick Maloney, the chair of the DCCC, has conceded his race
jeffml
Joined: April 18, 2005 at 05:01 AM UTC
Posts: 2267
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 04:17 PM UTC
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DeSantis gerrymandered the hell out of FL so that is a reason why he may have performed so well. He's a fuck-face like Trump and that is a fucked up state so no surprise in the outcome. I hope they both beat each other to a bloody pulp the next 2 years.
SoldMyPoll4RnR wrote:
still some votes to count, but people are starting to claim that Lauren Boebert isn't going to win!
this was also interesting…I hope lake loses
@atrupar
Katie Hobbs took a lot of shit for not debating Kari Lake. The conventional wisdom may have been wrong on that one.
I think hutch would have said the same about Fetterman (and looking back, I think it would have been a smarter choice)
also feels good to see Sarah Palin losing in AK
whoa…he is definately running in 2024. this could be the cleaving of the GOP I have fortold for 6 years, but has yet to happen
DeSantis outperformed Trump’s 2020 vote across the entire state, even winning Miami-Dade County with a whopping R+11 margin
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 04:18 PM UTC
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SoldMyPoll4RnR wrote:
still some votes to count, but people are starting to claim that Lauren Boebert isn't going to win!
I see a lot of contradictory info here. LOTS of Dems wishcasting. NYT county breakdown of the remaining votes would seem favorable to the Dem but their model seems to think there's a block of Boebert votes in one county, despite the counted votes (which should be day-of) there already being favorable to the Dem. Seems like a lot of confusion about what is left outstanding in Pueblo, a town I actually have been to like 10 times as a kid when I lived in Colorado. (All politics are local when you're Julian.)
SoldMyPoll4RnR wrote:
whoa…he is definately running in 2024. this could be the cleaving of the GOP I have fortold for 6 years, but has yet to happen
DeSantis outperformed Trump’s 2020 vote across the entire state, even winning Miami-Dade County with a whopping R+11 margin
Trump's vanity candidates lost PA and likely cost the GOP a Georgia senate seat for a third time. I've never thought DeSantis had a real path to the nomination if trump decided he wanted to run again, but yesterday was VERY bad for Trump. (He gets no credit for endorsing people like Vance where any GOPer was going to win the seat no matter what.) Florida is the ONE bright spot for GOP yesterday. (They did OK in NY too.)
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 04:27 PM UTC
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ahh the dems with the wishcasting. I think it's a requirement for entry, I know I do a whole lot of it
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 05:09 PM UTC
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Newswire has called Boeberts defeat. I’d wait to pop the champagne until a larger org does but put the champagne on ice.
sweetcell
Joined: July 18, 2006 at 05:01 AM UTC
Posts: 22608
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 05:13 PM UTC
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Julian, wrote:
yesterday was VERY bad for Trump
Former President Donald Trump "is livid” and “screaming at everyone” after last night’s disappointing GOP results in the midterms, a Trump adviser who has been in contact with Trump’s inner circle tells CNN.
“Candidates matter,” the Trump adviser said. “They were all bad candidates,” the adviser continued, critiquing many of Trump’s handpicked contenders in key battleground states.
This adviser said it’s unlikely Trump would delay his expected presidential announcement because “it’s too humiliating to delay.” But the adviser said there are too many unknowns at this point.
beetsnotbeats
Joined: April 26, 2002 at 05:01 AM UTC
Posts: 5756
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 05:30 PM UTC
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sweetcell wrote:
“Candidates matter,” the Trump adviser said. “They were all bad candidates,” the adviser continued, critiquing many of Trump’s handpicked contenders in key battleground states.
Trump clones minus the messianic auras equal unelectable buffoons.
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 05:51 PM UTC
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Nate Silver is saying his current best guess is GOP 220-Dems 215. While I never want to see the Dems lose the house, trying to see the GOP form a quorum will be hilarious if that's the margin. Not sure McCarthy can win Speaker at that.
Do the Dems pull 2-3 moderate GOPers to not support the GOP Speaker leader-in-the-clubhouse in exchange for a united Democratic House block voting for . . . Liz Cheney, Speaker of the House? *gets the vapors*
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 06:03 PM UTC
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Julian, wrote:
Wisconsin legislative bodies or perhaps the most gerrymandered in the entire country. Super majorities for Republicans in both despite more votes going to Democratic candidate statewide.
I need to correct this. They have fallen JUST short of supermajorities in Wisconsin.
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 06:35 PM UTC
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sweetcell wrote:
Julian, wrote:
yesterday was VERY bad for Trump
Former President Donald Trump "is livid” and “screaming at everyone” after last night’s disappointing GOP results in the midterms, a Trump adviser who has been in contact with Trump’s inner circle tells CNN.
“Candidates matter,” the Trump adviser said. “They were all bad candidates,” the adviser continued, critiquing many of Trump’s handpicked contenders in key battleground states.
This adviser said it’s unlikely Trump would delay his expected presidential announcement because “it’s too humiliating to delay.” But the adviser said there are too many unknowns at this point.
Narrator: shortly after this interaction, this advisor was no longer employed by the trump org
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 06:46 PM UTC
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God, had the Dems not screwed the pooch in NY – of all places – retaining the House would legitimately be in play.
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 06:51 PM UTC
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so if we want the senate, are we all sending money into Warnock's run off
is it only one month this time?
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 06:56 PM UTC
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SoldMyPoll4RnR wrote:
so if we want the senate, are we all sending money into Warnock's run off
is it only one month this time?
I think it'll be 50-49 for the Dems going into the runoff at this point.
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 06:59 PM UTC
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Julian, wrote:
SoldMyPoll4RnR wrote:
so if we want the senate, are we all sending money into Warnock's run off
is it only one month this time?
I think it'll be 50-49 for the Dems going into the runoff at this point.
oh so save my money and dump into TSLA
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 07:03 PM UTC
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Starsky
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 07:07 PM UTC
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God I feel so good…but trying to stay even keeled until more counting takes place
There are all kinds of takes on what happened last night; thankfully what I thought would happen did not. It was not a shellacking and inflation does not appear to have disproportionately driven voters. That’s about all I can say right now.
Space Freely
Joined: December 13, 2014 at 07:28 PM UTC
Posts: 11019
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 09, 2022 at 07:14 PM UTC
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Julian, wrote:
SoldMyPoll4RnR wrote:
so if we want the senate, are we all sending money into Warnock's run off
is it only one month this time?
I think it'll be 50-49 for the Dems going into the runoff at this point.
Cortez Masto will pull it out?