Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 12, 2022 at 11:56 PM UTC
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Is there any validity to this?
Second highest youth turnout since 72
And 2018 was the highest
So far, the highest turnout during a midterm for this voting bloc is 2018 when about 31%
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 13, 2022 at 01:09 AM UTC
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I’m calling it after that last Maricopa drop: Hobbs has won AZ Governor.
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 13, 2022 at 02:23 AM UTC
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Nevada and senate as a whole called for Dems by networks
kosmo
Joined: September 23, 1999 at 05:01 AM UTC
Posts: 16329
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 13, 2022 at 02:40 AM UTC
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WA3 is being called the biggest dem upset in the house Marie Gluesenkamp Perez was given a 2% chance of winning
Apparently her opponent was crazy and Tulsi G. was all in for him
Starsky
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 13, 2022 at 04:23 PM UTC
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Man it must suck to be a Republican right now….it just gets worse for them everyday
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 13, 2022 at 06:06 PM UTC
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I do not think the Dems will hold the house but there’s a legit 20-25% chance they still could. The gOP margin will be like 3-4 seats. Had the Dems not screwed the redistricting pooch in NY (and to a lesser extent CA), they’d have held it for sure.
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 14, 2022 at 12:29 AM UTC
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While I liked both of these
appealed to those who were already inclined to vote d to begin with, so little impact overall
@pamkeithfl
Give credit where it’s due.
Biden did a great job, and the last minute outreach to young voters with debt relief and cannabis EO made all the difference.
Also, I’m actually now feeling sour on the youth vote
We set the bar so freaking low sometimes
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 14, 2022 at 01:19 AM UTC
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Oregon’s 6th
We keep picking up toss up seats
Quite a photo finish here
Starsky
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 14, 2022 at 02:11 AM UTC
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we lost a couple of seats we needed..based on Wasserman’s tweets we are looking at a likely 5-9 seat Republican majority
Obviously this is an incredible accomplishment for democrats given people’s predictions….
sweetcell
Joined: July 18, 2006 at 05:01 AM UTC
Posts: 22608
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 15, 2022 at 02:33 AM UTC
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NYT: HOBBS BEATS LAKE IN AZcan't wait for the fallout on this one… i sincerely hope lake goes full trump. let's put this shit on display.
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 15, 2022 at 03:27 PM UTC
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sweetcell wrote:
NYT: HOBBS BEATS LAKE IN AZ
can't wait for the fallout on this one… i sincerely hope lake goes full trump. let's put this shit on display.
NYT running days behind Julian, what else is new?
vansmack
Joined: October 04, 2001 at 05:01 AM UTC
Posts: 19725
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 15, 2022 at 06:14 PM UTC
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Julian, wrote:
Had the Dems not screwed the redistricting pooch in NY (and to a lesser extent CA), they’d have held it for sure.
Really? How an independent commission made up of citizens outside of any control of elected officials could get any blame is the stuff I expect hear from the right. Not you. CA lost a seat after the census and it was always going to hurt the Dems.
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 15, 2022 at 06:20 PM UTC
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I must say, that this thread header was written because I'd accepted that Dems would totally screw this mid-term up
but as it usually goes, One should bet the opposite of what Sidehatch says and you'll likely do better
Well done, team blue.
I think the emboldened fringe of the GQP is going to make it really hard for them to do as much damage if we'd lost 30-40 seats
Marge and KrewKrazy will have demands and they will hold the party hostage to get those demands
Still likely going to be talking Hunter's Laptop and a possible impeachment (on what exactly?)
may not have as many debt ceiling fights? who knows
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 15, 2022 at 06:23 PM UTC
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vansmack wrote:
Julian, wrote:
Had the Dems not screwed the redistricting pooch in NY (and to a lesser extent CA), they’d have held it for sure.
Really? How an independent commission made up of citizens outside of any control of elected officials could get any blame is the stuff I expect hear from the right. Not you. CA lost a seat after the census and it was always going to hurt the Dems.
Hmm, interesting
I've read very little about this and have only heard Jules and his mudslinging at NY
vansmack
Joined: October 04, 2001 at 05:01 AM UTC
Posts: 19725
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 15, 2022 at 06:26 PM UTC
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Salad-Hatch. wrote:
Jules and his mudslinging at NY
NY is different. That is not independent despite its description. An "independent commission" draws the maps in NY but they need approval by the two NY State houses, and can be redrawn, changed and rejected if they don't like them.
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 15, 2022 at 08:59 PM UTC
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Josh Hawley just now: “This election was the funeral for the Republican Party as we know it. The Republican Party is, as we have known it, is dead. Voters have made that clear—we are not a majority party.”
always weird when I agree with Josh, but the facts are..the GOP was not the majority party(as far as numbers of people) for a while
ding dong the witch is dead!
Starsky
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 15, 2022 at 09:03 PM UTC
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It is amazing how people overreact. I mean they won the house and the Senate is virtually tied and it’s a funeral!?
Come on now
sweetcell
Joined: July 18, 2006 at 05:01 AM UTC
Posts: 22608
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 15, 2022 at 09:04 PM UTC
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always weird when I agree with hutch, but the facts are… the GOP ain't dead. stop being melodramatic, y'all.
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 15, 2022 at 09:14 PM UTC
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what if we REALLLY want it to be dead, does that count for anything
also, i actually don't want the GOP to die, but to split into two factions
Old-school GOP
Trump-Party
neither will be able to get more than 30% of the vote and will make it much easier for dems to win
kosmo
Joined: September 23, 1999 at 05:01 AM UTC
Posts: 16329
Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
November 15, 2022 at 09:21 PM UTC
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the one with the hair from Florida is not attending tonight's "event" because of the weather in DC and FL… that being overcast skies on both ends…