202(2)5 - dems in disarray thread

One of the pens. Traditionally, POTUS uses one pen for each letter of their name in signing ceremonies.

(Unless, in this particular case, he used a single pen for this bill…)

french wrote:
the array continues to happen…although this photo does look a little creepy

Biden hands Joe Manchin the pen he used to sign the Inflation Reduction Act.

That’s a great picture

Biden’s expression says “You really deserve it”

Gotta hand it to Biden that he kept his cool regarding Manchin (when everyone wanted him to go medieval on Manchin) and eventually Manchin came around.

note the source…but the new GQP is here to say and the old guard has officially been let out to pasture


George Papadopoulos@GeorgePapa19
When Liz Cheney is sent packing tonight by Wyoming’s voters, it will be the first time in over a hundred years we will no longer have any Bush’s, McCain’s, Cheney’s or Clinton’s in office!

Damn, this Brandon MFer's not just calling out their bullshit, he's got the goddamn receipts!


(x-posted in Twitter thread)

If you're wondering what led to the sudden shift in the official White House Twitter account's posting strategy
https://twitter.com/jeffbcraven/status/1562957374339497987?s=21&t=hySlPMOufzHBIUb_gW2YEQ


https://newjerseyglobe.com/national/megan-coyne-the-voice-of-new-jersey-is-headed-to-the-white-house/

@morgandorks
when you absolutely positively need to talk shit better than anybody else

you bring in a jersey girl

Wait, Mitch was on our side the whole time!!

https://thehill.com/homenews/3614769-trump-calls-for-mcconnell-to-be-ousted-as-gop-leader-immediately/

“pawn for the Democrats.”

I guess since the didn’t give a vote on the SCOTUS for Garland, he was playing the long game as he knew Dark Brandon would make him AG and get Trump

yeah, while I want it MJ is not THE issue

Roe is really shaping up to be a big factor in an off year election(I know they were already saying that…but it's now post labor day and shit is getting real)

youth vote typically sucks donkey dick, but this is finally an issue that may bring them to the polls

the other factor is there are enough hard core republicans women who will vote D in the booth if their guy is saying they are going to make abortion illegal

Off year elections are always a little bit of a wildcard due to low turnout…don't think that's going to be the case in 2022


this was a good commentary on it

@MalloryMcMorrow
Republicans in June: "It's not an abortion ban; it's sending the issue to the states."

*States all over the country organize to protect access to abortion*

Republicans now: "Elect us and we will pass a nationwide abortion ban."

I know you all hate the polling…but man Biden is having quite the comeback on approval polling
lots of post labor day polls have him in the 45% range…considering he was in the 30s for June/july/aug

It is interesting to note, that almost every president was at exactly the same approval at this time in their first term …even trump(except for both bush's who had great numbers…I get W due to 9/11, but not sure why everyone was so jazzed by H 18 months in?)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

Americans continue to judge Presidents based on what 87 octane gasoline costs, for some reason.

Julian, wrote:
Americans continue to judge Presidents based on what 87 octane gasoline costs, for some reason.

sadly can confirm

man, michale moore was on Maher  (who was one of the earliest people to predict Trump would win the nom and 2016) was just giddy with excitement at dems prospect in November…and he's usually quite the debbie downer


LAST UPDATED SEPT. 23, 2022
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s 2022 midterm forecast!
We’ve got a bit of a split diagnosis in this election: Republicans are favored to win the House, while Democrats have an edge in the Senate.
In recent weeks, the national environment has improved for Democrats, with their odds of holding onto the House even increasing slightly. It’s early yet, but is it possible the 2022 election will be an asterisk* election?

I know it's a little early (well until the evening of nov 8th every thing is early) but must say I'm feeling good

Also signed up to be a poll worker again this year!

how can her constituents actually still like her after her opening her mouth for the last two years?  I just don't get it, but guess they love it

538 is giving her a massive slam dunk
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/house/colorado/3/

well, this is based on a July poll, so nothing remotely recent

ugh, boebert country sounds like an insult
https://www.denverpost.com/2022/09/27/lauren-boebert-election-colorado-congress/

I don't like politics, which is why I follow it. Aren't polls of any kind before an election, been proven to just be wishful thinking and it does not actually relate to what is going to happen on voting day?

also a new tactic is they are trying to take back the 'big lie' and make it hard to know who you are talking about

hell to the yeah

Cook shifted the races in Pennsylvania and Michigan from “lean Democratic” to “likely Democratic”and the race in Oklahoma from “solid Republican” to “likely Republican.”

Man, this doesn't bode well for the dems with the largest growing minority demographic


Steve Kornacki@SteveKornacki
Latino vote, per Pew's validated post-election voter surveys:
2016: Clinton +38
2018: Dems +47
2020: Biden +21

Both Establishment Dems and Bernie Bros have a huge disconnect between what they think Hispanic voters care about and what they actually care about. See: abortion, most social issues, the use of the term Latinx.

Gee with friends like this….

What timing…one month from the midterms

https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/04/politics/white-house-lobby-opec-oil-production-cuts-gasoline-prices-midterms/index.html