Things Smackie Thinks You Need to Know...

Originally posted by god's shoeshine:
is it not surprising that it has taken so long for the unrest to occur? i remember dire predictions right after 9/11
Well, let's remember that Pakistan is an extremely divided country, so it always seems as though they are on the brink of some catastrophic collapse. The root, of course, being how to mix Shariah law and democracy (which is what I was there to work on).

After 9/11, Musharraf shocked (nearly) everybody by announcing his support for pro-western forces, and while that alienated the islamic-extreme western half of his country, it was likely a point of unison for the rest of the country (who actually vote). It was thought that by embracing democracy (and it's allies) Pakistan might turn the corner. It was how he went about maintaining that power that upset those he united with his pro-western stance, and got him where he's at now.
High School Football

For those of you that have the Sports Packages with their cable/satellite TV, I welcome you enjoy the battle of Orange County tonight on FSN West/Prime Ticket between my alma mater (Servite) and Smackette's alma mater (Mater Dei) at 7:30pm PT. Over 20,000 people will be in attendance and the game is held at Anaheim Stadium, the only stadium big enough to house the game in The OC.

For the record, my school hasn't beaten Smackette's school since I was a Freshman (when she was in 3rd grade), but I have a good feeling about tonight!
Matt Barkley

Remember the name. I've seen a lot of great QB's play in high school - Matt Leinart, Carson Palmer, Tom Brady, Todd Marinovich, Jimmy Clausen - and as a Junior, his arm strength beats them all. By the time he gets to USC (if Pete Carroll is still there), he will be the most experienced high school QB of all time (4 year starter at Mater Dei - currently USA Today #19 in the nation).
Democrats: Colleges must police copyright, or else

New federal legislation says universities must agree to provide not just deterrents but also "alternatives" to peer-to-peer piracy, such as paying monthly subscription fees to the music industry for their students, on penalty of losing all financial aid for their students.

The U.S. House of Representatives bill (PDF), which was introduced late Friday by top Democratic politicians, could give the movie and music industries a new revenue stream by pressuring schools into signing up for monthly subscription services such as Ruckus and Napster. Ruckus is advertising-supported, and Napster charges a monthly fee per student.

More on the worst idea ever....
I swear, if you don't read anything else I post, at least read all of this one (and I'm posting it all!). I have been preaching this for years and somebody finally got around to saying it!

November 14, 2007
Op-Ed Columnist
Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda
By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN

Two dates â?? two numbers. Read them and weep for what could have, and should have, been. On Sept. 11, 2001, the OPEC basket oil price was $25.50 a barrel. On Nov. 13, 2007, the OPEC basket price was around $90 a barrel.

In the wake of 9/11, some of us pleaded for a â??patriot taxâ? on gasoline of $1 or more a gallon to diminish the transfers of wealth we were making to the very countries who were indirectly financing the ideologies of intolerance that were killing Americans and in order to spur innovation in energy efficiency by U.S. manufacturers.

But no, George Bush and Dick Cheney had a better idea. And the Democrats went along for the ride. They were all going to let the market work and not let our government shape that market â?? like OPEC does.

Youâ??d think that one person, just one, running for Congress or the Senate would take a flier and say: â??Oh, what the heck. Iâ??m going to lose anyway. Why not tell the truth? Iâ??ll support a gasoline tax.â?

Not one. Everyone just runs away from the â??T-wordâ? and watches our wealth run away to Russia, Venezuela and Iran.

I canâ??t believe that someone could not win the following debate:

REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE: â??My Democratic opponent, true to form, wants to raise your taxes. Yes, now he wants to raise your taxes at the gasoline pump by $1 a gallon. Another tax-and-spend liberal who wants to get into your pocket.â?

DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE: â??Yes, my opponent is right. I do favor a gasoline tax phased in over 12 months. But letâ??s get one thing straight: My opponent and I are both for a tax. I just prefer that my taxes go to the U.S. Treasury, and heâ??s ready to see his go to the Russian, Venezuelan, Saudi and Iranian treasuries. His tax finances people who hate us. Mine would offset some of our payroll taxes, pay down our deficit, strengthen our dollar, stimulate energy efficiency and shore up Social Security. Itâ??s called win-win-win-win-win for America. My opponentâ??s strategy is sit back, let the market work and watch America lose-lose-lose-lose-lose.â? If you canâ??t win that debate, you donâ??t belong in politics.

â??Think about it,â? says Phil Verleger, an energy economist. â??We could have replaced the current payroll tax with a gasoline tax. Middle-class consumers would have seen increased take-home pay of between six and nine percent, even though they would have had to pay more at the pump. A stronger foundation for future economic growth would have been laid by keeping more oil revenue home, and we might not now be facing a recession.â?

As a higher gas tax discouraged oil consumption, the Harvard University economist and former Bush adviser N. Gregory Mankiw has argued: â??the price of oil would fall in world markets. As a result, the price of gas to [U.S.] consumers would rise by less than the increase in the tax. Some of the tax would in effect be paid by Saudi Arabia and Venezuela.â?

But U.S. consumers would have known that, with a higher gasoline tax locked in for good, pump prices would never be going back to the old days, adds Mr. Verleger, so they would have a much stronger incentive to switch to more fuel-efficient vehicles and Detroit would have had to make more hybrids to survive. This would have put Detroit five years ahead of where it is now. â??Itâ??s called the America wins program,â? said Mr. Verleger, â??instead of the petro-states win program.â?

We simply cannot go on being as dumb as we wanna be. If you hate the war in Iraq, then you want a gasoline tax so you can argue that we can pull out of there without remaining dependent on an even more unstable region. If you want to see us negotiate with Iran, not bomb it, you want a gasoline tax that will give us some real leverage by helping to reduce the income of the ayatollahs.

If youâ??re a conservative and you believed that the Iraq war was necessary to drive reform in the Middle East, but the war has failed to do that and we need â??Plan Bâ? for the same objective, you want a gasoline tax that will reduce the flow of wealth to petrolist leaders who will never change if all they have to do is drill well holes rather than educate and empower their people.

If you want to see America thrive by becoming the most energy productive economy in the world â?? a title that now belongs to Japan, which doesnâ??t have a drop of oil in its soil â?? you want a gasoline tax, which will only spur U.S. innovation in energy efficiency.

President Bush squandered a historic opportunity to put America on a radically different energy course after 9/11. But considering how few Democrats or Republicans are ready to tell the people the truth on this issue, maybe we have the president we deserve. I refuse to believe that, but Iâ??m starting to doubt myself.
Just thought I'd remind you…

Originally posted by vansmack:
2. Where do you expect Barry Bonds to be in 2008?

One executive said he'll be "in jail."

I was not that GM, but if I were a GM, in jail would have been my response.
Originally posted by vansmack:
I swear, if you don't read anything else I post, at least read all of this one (and I'm posting it all!). I have been preaching this for years and somebody finally got around to saying it!

November 14, 2007
Op-Ed Columnist
Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda
By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN…
I hate the fact that I'm reading your "blog" you've started here on the board, smackie…BUT I have to admit, this was a fascinating article and one I'll save.

Why do you suppose we don't go the route Friedman proposes? Do the politicians not understand the economics…or is it the back-room dealing with wealthy Arab oil-producing countries that stands in the way?
Originally posted by Celeste:
Why do you suppose we don't go the route Friedman proposes?
The reasons are mostly political - and by that I mean political suicide.

A simple mention of an increase in the gas tax will cost you an election - even in hippie liberal places like San Francisco. Part of it comes down to a lack of understanding of the tax process as well - even if one were to call it revenue nuetral to the US coffers, and an increase in the amount of take home pay (as the Harvard economist proposes), the simple mail fliers and commercials would ruin any chance of that person being elected. The un-informed electorate would hear nothing but an increase in taxes.

Couple that with most US folks not having a solid grasp of foreign policy, save for wars (especially surounding OPEC and petrolstates), and it's too much for the most voting Americans. I hate to think this, but I would love to see a poll on whether most Americans playing word association with Islamic countries today would say "oil" or "terrorist" first when it comes to OPEC countries. Seven years ago it would be oil, no doubt, but today I'm not so sure.
do you have a link for that article?
I don't remember who it was that posted that brilliant Maher interview with Kasparov, but this is what he was referring to. As a former OSCE Election monitor in CEE/NIS, this is particualry disturbing given Putin's history and reluctance to step down as President. I wonder if the US or the UN will now not recognize the elections, as they are want to do when this situation happens is other "dictatorships"?

Press release
ODIHR unable to observe Russian Duma elections

WARSAW, 16 November 2007 - The OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights (ODIHR) has informed the Russian authorities that the Office will be unable to act upon their invitation to observe the 2 December elections to the Russian State Duma.

In a letter to the Russian Central Election Commission, ODIHR Director Ambassador Christian Strohal regretted this conclusion, but said that due to delays and restrictions, ODIHR would be unable to deliver its mandate.

In spite of the delayed receipt of an invitation from the Russian authorities to observe and unprecedented restrictions introduced in the invitation, the ODIHR set out to deliver its mandate conscientiously and in good faith by attempting to deploy an observation mission within the many constraints placed upon the institution.

The ODIHR requested to deploy 20 experts on 7 November and 50 further observers on 15 November. Despite repeated attempts to attain entry visa into the Russian Federation for ODIHR experts and observers, entry visas have continuously been denied.

The ODIHR therefore concludes that the authorities of the Russian Federation remain unwilling to receive ODIHR observers in a timely and co-operative manner and co-operate fully with them. It is with regret that the ODIHR recognizes that it will be unable to deliver its mandate under these circumstances.
Originally posted by vansmack:
I swear, if you don't read anything else I post, at least read all of this one (and I'm posting it all!). I have been preaching this for years and somebody finally got around to saying it!

November 14, 2007
Op-Ed Columnist
Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda
By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN
hasn't he written a million columns saying this same thing over the last few years?
Originally posted by Hoya Paranoia:
hasn't he written a million columns saying this same thing over the last few years?
Not nearly as bluntly or as directly as he did this week.

Yes he has written about going green. Yes he has written about sticking the next generation with the war debt. Yes he has written about the gas tax. And yes he has written about the petrodollars and their effect on Iran, Suadia Arabia, Russia and Venezuela.

But I have never seen someone so directly take on the US Lawmakers and frame such an argument for a gas tax while directly disussing it's effect on US foreign policy, Detroit's lack of innovation and an argument for making it revenue neutral in terms that both liberals and conservatives could actually support in one Op-Ed.
Turning down a handjob from a gay guy is like not looking at a rainbow.
Trade: Angels Get Garland For Cabrera

The Angels added Jon Garland to their rotation Monday, but at a steep price. The White Sox acquired Gold Glove shortstop Orlando Cabrera in exchange for the right-hander.

———

Another deal must be in the works because otherwise this makes little sense from Anaheim's standpoint.
At $400, I think Amazon is crazy to think this is going to be the next big thing. At least they were smart to include free EVDO (Sprint), but why not include wi-fi too?

November 19, 2007
Amazon Launches Wireless Book Reader "Kindle"
By REUTERS
Filed at 1:14 p.m. ET

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Amazon.com, the world's largest Web retailer, said on Monday it will begin selling an electronic book reader with wireless access, the latest attempt to build consumer interest in portable reading devices.

Although the market for e-books is limited, and competing devices have yet to catch on, one analyst said Amazon's book reader could eventually evolve into one that is able to capture all of the company's many offerings.

The battery-operated Amazon Kindle will sell for $399 and let users download books, newspapers and blogs over a wireless connection. It can carry about 200 books downloaded from Amazon.com at about $10 each for new releases.

Letter from Jeff Bezos
Yeah, $400 is DOA. Lotsa new laptops barely cost that nowadays.
Originally posted by Celeste:
Why do you suppose we don't go the route Friedman proposes? Do the politicians not understand the economics…or is it the back-room dealing with wealthy Arab oil-producing countries that stands in the way?
Glenn Greenwald shows how Friedman is really a giant asshole.
Originally posted by beetsnotbeats:
Glenn Greenwald shows how Friedman is really a giant asshole.
Needless to say I just about threw up when I read that article on Sunday and vehemently disagreed with it. What's wrong with putting foreign policy back in the hands of the person it's supposed to be in - The Secretary of State - with guidance from the President? To even suggest that a VP (no matter who it is) has that much say in foreign policy is absurd, and you need only point to this administration to see its faults.

However, Greenwald's first paragraph is useless towards the rest of his article and is simply congering up and old piece with a huge dose of hindsight. It's absurd to say that Friedman had more to do with the Iraq war than George Tenet and the rest of the folks peddling the false intelligence. That's who Friedman relied on and that's who the 296 Representatives and 77 Senators relied on. To think otherwise is an attempt to simply make a name for yourself.

Friedman has said for a while now that he was wrong (as do about 100 liberal congressmen) based on falsified intelligence, but more importantly he was pointing out that the Bush strategy upon going into Iraq was wrong from the beginning. I don't think very many people had the feeling that Friedman did on how this particular invasion was doomed from the start. It was much easier to say the war is a bad idea than it was to point out the flaws of the particular invasion.