COVID-19 2020

I read an article that said DC Mayor expects covid19 to peak in DC in June-July with 1000 deaths

It’s hard to imagine if that is the city’s current thinking that any concerts will take place during those months

I am not sure why venues are rescheduling postponed concerts for June as the Ottobar emailed me they are doing for Guided by Voices…just isn’t going to happen


hutch wrote:
I read an article that said DC Mayor expects covid19 to peak in DC in June-July with 1000 deaths

It’s hard to imagine if that is the city’s current thinking that any concerts will take place during those months

I am not sure why venues are rescheduling postponed concerts for June as the Ottobar emailed me they are doing for Guided by Voices…just isn’t going to happen
This is just me speaking and I am not an epidemiologist I just can look at the daily charts of other countries and compare to ours and where we are, and also am listening to what the experts on my company’s board are saying, and from that, I predict late-May/early-June is going to be the wind down to normalcy and I think the second that corner is turned everything will open back up.

That said, I am known to be wrong.
Man, I've never seen challenged in a Suit, but he sure does look dapper

I too have been surprised at the rescheduling for anything earlier than August
Julian, wrote:
That said, I am known to be wrong.

can confirm
Well I sure hope you are right Julian

Indeed that is encouraging
And to clarify my opinion, I am not saying I think we should open back up then. I just think that is when numbers will be solidly going down daily and we will open everything up ASAP because (1) we are not a people in this country that know or embrace sacrifice; we are a nation of half-measures and (2) we have a president facing reëlection that needs a functioning economy.
Nice umlaut bro
Heilung4eva wrote:
Nice umlaut bro
Its a diaeresis, you fucking cretin.
TMI, man. Grab some Kaopectate and eat a prune.
Overall, the study indicates, the economic impact of the pandemic was severe. Using state-level data, the researchers find an 18 percent drop in manufacturing output through 1923, well after the last wave of the flu hit in 1919.

Looking at the effect across 43 cities, however, the researchers found significantly different economic outcomes, linked to different social distancing policies. The best-performing cities included Oakland, California; Omaha, Nebraska; Portland, Oregon; and Seattle, which all enforced over 120 days of social distancing in 1918. Cities that instituted fewer than 60 days of social distancing in 1918, and saw manufacturing struggle afterward, include Philadelphia; St. Paul, Minnesota; and Lowell, Massachusetts.

“What we find is that areas that were more severely affected in the 1918 flu pandemic see a sharp and persistent decline in a number of measures of economic activity, including manufacturing employment, manufacturing output, bank loans, and the stock of consumer durables,” Verner says.

http://news.mit.edu/2020/pandemic-health-response-economic-recovery-0401
diaeresis-hatch wrote:
Man, I've never seen challenged in a Suit, but he sure does look dapper

I too have been surprised at the rescheduling for anything earlier than August


Thanks Hatch, I am a fine figure of a well respected man about town
hutch wrote:
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=NAh4uS4f78o

The daily show has really been finding its stride as of late

What is most powerful about that is they list the dates
Will be lost on their audiences, but I would imagine this will be powerful with those elusive swing voters
That video is mandatory

Everyone should watch it

When Biden wins we need a new regulatory regime for media
Space wrote:
Julian, wrote:
Space wrote:
sweetcell wrote:
Space wrote:
This thing is going to end up killing a hell of a lot of Biden voters.

i think it's going to kill a lot more trump voters.

1) the governors who listened to trump and delayed enacting stay-at-home rules are all exclusively from pro-trump states, as far as i can tell.

2)


I'm talking about inner city (Detroit, New Orleans, Atlanta, etc) diabetic (and other conditions) black people, who disproportionately have existing medical conditions (and 96% of those dying have pre-existing conditions). The older white people (i.e. Trump voters), primarily live in suburbs and rural areas, where they will be able to more easily socially distance. Not saying Trump won't lose some of his flock, but a disproportionate amount of black people are going to die from this.
Anecdotal as hell but I have several aunts and uncles who are huge Trumpers. None are socially distancing. Total survivorship bias.


https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/local/michigan/2020/04/02/michigans-covid-19-deaths-hit-417-cases-exceed-10-700/5113221002/



Lansing — At least 40% of those killed by the novel coronavirus in Michigan so far are black, a percentage that far exceeds the proportion of African Americans in the Detroit region and state.

The first statewide release of mortality by race in Michigan, among the first in the nation, suggests that the actual percentage of blacks killed could be significantly higher — the race of nearly a third killed has yet to be disclosed.

In Michigan, just 14% of the population is black. And while the coronavirus outbreak has been centered in Metro Detroit, African Americans make up less than a quarter of the six-county metropolitan area.


On Friday, the Illinois Department of Public Health became one of the few state offices to release some racial data. And the data showed a pandemic within the pandemic: African Americans are significantly overrepresented in infection rates in Illinois, while whites and Latinos are significantly underrepresented. African Americans make up 14.6 percent of the state population, but 28 percent of confirmed cases of the coronavirus. White people comprise 76.9 percent of the Illinois population, and 39 percent of the confirmed cases. Latinos comprise 17.4 percent of the state population, and 7 percent of the cases. In Illinois, Asian Americans were the only racial group without a significant disparity between their state population, at 5.9 percent, and confirmed cases, at 4 percent. (Nearly a third of cases were recorded as “other” or left blank. Illinois did not release racial data on Native Americans, or on testing, hospitalization, and death rates by race.)

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/04/stop-looking-away-race-covid-19-victims/609250/
Wouldn’t that tie in to obesity rates?
hutch wrote:
Wouldn’t that tie in to obesity rates?


Edit
What?



Well we are officially #1


First country with more than 1000 deaths in one day and it’s only 4 pm