The 2020 thread....

kosmo wrote:

My only worry is that when the hopeful landslide occurs,  they don’t try to use the Biden’s “low turnout” events as indication that voter fraud has occurred

They will try anything, I know the Trump team monitors this board… so thanks for helping out the enemy Koz.
I feel like Trump rallies get amplified way beyond attendants…by the local papers, TV coverage, radio etc


It’s like when the Stones or Floyd played your town in the 90s…you didn’t have to be there at show to read about it in paper or hear about it and the local TV stations sent a crew down to cover it.. it became a thing “wow Floyd was in our town last night!”

It’s like hey he is visiting our state..he is fighting for our vote… he really wants our vote… you don’t have to be there to feel that



More people have now voted in Texas than did so in the 2016 general election.

Election Day is this coming Tuesday.
For those of us obsessively checking 538's Forecast multiple times a day, they're odds off a Trump victory has dropped from 13 to 10 in the last 48 hours. If it gets to single digits, I may take off my pants and run around.
bitter wrote:
More people have now voted in Texas than did so in the 2016 general election.

Wow that is impressive.  I don't think Beto gets enough credit for waking the dems in TX as he should
He surely would have beat Ted if they were on the ballot this year

Julian, wrote: If it gets to single digits, I may take off my pants and run around.

pic or it didn't happen (not that I want to see it, but we have standards on what can be claimed)
Martin wrote:
pic or it didn't happen (not that I want to see it, but we have standards on what can be claimed)
Someone fly the photographer in that we had for GwarBQ and let's get this done.
If it doesn’t get to single digits Trump will be President

It will mean there is a huge mass of unpolled Trump voters turning out…replicated all across America

Pray you wet your pants
bitter wrote:
If it doesn’t get to single digits Trump will be President

Huh…If it gets to single digits on the 538 thing, that means the likelihood of him winning is less than 10%

I think you meant if polling in swing states has biden ahead by single digits we should be worried
No I meant exactly what I said


If Biden loses Texas by double digits Trump will be President.
Never mind
I was talking about 538s general “what odds does this person have to win the presidency,” not their Texas polling numbers.
Yeah just got that


I really don’t understand how 538 is so rosy


Maybe I need to spend more time there


What I see is a narrowing lead in the swing states that is pretty much within the MOE everywhere except WI and MI.

I think the correct reading is this election is really tight. And with unusually high turnout and early voting my confidence in polls is kind of shot.

I mean it’s ballsy to read the data and see Biden can lose PA (possible) and FL (probable) and win.

Maybe I am just overthinking it
Trump Bails On His Election Night Party To Sulk In The White House
Trump has canceled plans to appear at an election night party at his Washington, DC hotel and instead will stay in the White House.


"making the most of the time he has left"
Koz or Jules…..can you confirm this
Trump: "Twelve years ago I was named Man of the Year of Michigan. Can you believe it?"


tay tay is using her power to tip the scales…
https://twitter.com/ericswalwell/status/1322161334696386560?s=20
Taylor Swift has 87.3 million followers on Twitter - the exact same number as Trump.
This is the first campaign ad she has ever given permission to use her music.
Martin wrote:
Koz or Jules…..can you confirm this
Trump: "Twelve years ago I was named Man of the Year of Michigan. Can you believe it?"


Brace yourself for this, as it may come as a shock: he's incorrect.

Martin wrote:
tay tay is using her power to tip the scales…
https://twitter.com/ericswalwell/status/1322161334696386560?s=20
Taylor Swift has 87.3 million followers on Twitter - the exact same number as Trump.
This is the first campaign ad she has ever given permission to use her music.

She totally failed to make any movement in TN in the midterms when 8,000,000 words were written about how she could turn the Governor and Senate races there. Dem candidates under preformed.
^ I knew both these things, post was to make sure you guys knew that too! ;)