Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: The 2020 thread....
October 30, 2020 at 11:39 AM UTC
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kosmo wrote:
My only worry is that when the hopeful landslide occurs, they don’t try to use the Biden’s “low turnout” events as indication that voter fraud has occurred
They will try anything, I know the Trump team monitors this board… so thanks for helping out the enemy Koz.
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: The 2020 thread....
October 30, 2020 at 11:54 AM UTC
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hutch
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: The 2020 thread....
October 30, 2020 at 01:12 PM UTC
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I feel like Trump rallies get amplified way beyond attendants…by the local papers, TV coverage, radio etc
It’s like when the Stones or Floyd played your town in the 90s…you didn’t have to be there at show to read about it in paper or hear about it and the local TV stations sent a crew down to cover it.. it became a thing “wow Floyd was in our town last night!”
It’s like hey he is visiting our state..he is fighting for our vote… he really wants our vote… you don’t have to be there to feel that
hutch
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: The 2020 thread....
October 30, 2020 at 02:34 PM UTC
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More people have now voted in Texas than did so in the 2016 general election.
Election Day is this coming Tuesday.
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: The 2020 thread....
October 30, 2020 at 02:38 PM UTC
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For those of us obsessively checking 538's Forecast multiple times a day, they're odds off a Trump victory has dropped from 13 to 10 in the last 48 hours. If it gets to single digits, I may take off my pants and run around.
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: The 2020 thread....
October 30, 2020 at 02:50 PM UTC
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bitter wrote:
More people have now voted in Texas than did so in the 2016 general election.
Wow that is impressive. I don't think Beto gets enough credit for waking the dems in TX as he should
He surely would have beat Ted if they were on the ballot this year
Julian, wrote: If it gets to single digits, I may take off my pants and run around.
pic or it didn't happen (not that I want to see it, but we have standards on what can be claimed)
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: The 2020 thread....
October 30, 2020 at 02:54 PM UTC
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Martin wrote:
pic or it didn't happen (not that I want to see it, but we have standards on what can be claimed)
Someone fly the photographer in that we had for GwarBQ and let's get this done.
hutch
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: The 2020 thread....
October 30, 2020 at 03:40 PM UTC
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If it doesn’t get to single digits Trump will be President
It will mean there is a huge mass of unpolled Trump voters turning out…replicated all across America
Pray you wet your pants
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: The 2020 thread....
October 30, 2020 at 04:11 PM UTC
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bitter wrote:
If it doesn’t get to single digits Trump will be President
Huh…If it gets to single digits on the 538 thing, that means the likelihood of him winning is less than 10%
I think you meant if polling in swing states has biden ahead by single digits we should be worried
hutch
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: The 2020 thread....
October 30, 2020 at 04:13 PM UTC
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No I meant exactly what I said
If Biden loses Texas by double digits Trump will be President.
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: The 2020 thread....
October 30, 2020 at 04:20 PM UTC
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I was talking about 538s general “what odds does this person have to win the presidency,” not their Texas polling numbers.
hutch
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: The 2020 thread....
October 30, 2020 at 04:25 PM UTC
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I really don’t understand how 538 is so rosy
Maybe I need to spend more time there
What I see is a narrowing lead in the swing states that is pretty much within the MOE everywhere except WI and MI.
I think the correct reading is this election is really tight. And with unusually high turnout and early voting my confidence in polls is kind of shot.
I mean it’s ballsy to read the data and see Biden can lose PA (possible) and FL (probable) and win.
Maybe I am just overthinking it
sweetcell
Joined: July 18, 2006 at 05:01 AM UTC
Posts: 22608
Re: The 2020 thread....
October 30, 2020 at 06:55 PM UTC
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Trump Bails On His Election Night Party To Sulk In The White HouseTrump has canceled plans to appear at an election night party at his Washington, DC hotel and instead will stay in the White House.
"making the most of the time he has left"
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: The 2020 thread....
October 30, 2020 at 07:23 PM UTC
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Koz or Jules…..can you confirm this
Trump: "Twelve years ago I was named Man of the Year of Michigan. Can you believe it?" tay tay is using her power to tip the scales…
https://twitter.com/ericswalwell/status/1322161334696386560?s=20Taylor Swift has 87.3 million followers on Twitter - the exact same number as Trump.
This is the first campaign ad she has ever given permission to use her music.
Space Freely
Joined: December 13, 2014 at 07:28 PM UTC
Posts: 11019
Re: The 2020 thread....
October 30, 2020 at 08:23 PM UTC
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jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: The 2020 thread....
October 30, 2020 at 08:50 PM UTC
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Martin wrote:
Koz or Jules…..can you confirm this
Trump: "Twelve years ago I was named Man of the Year of Michigan. Can you believe it?"
Brace yourself for this, as it may come as a shock:
he's incorrect.
Martin wrote:
tay tay is using her power to tip the scales…
https://twitter.com/ericswalwell/status/1322161334696386560?s=20
Taylor Swift has 87.3 million followers on Twitter - the exact same number as Trump.
This is the first campaign ad she has ever given permission to use her music.
She totally failed to make any movement in TN in the midterms when 8,000,000 words were written about how she could turn the Governor and Senate races there. Dem candidates under preformed.
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: The 2020 thread....
October 30, 2020 at 08:59 PM UTC
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^ I knew both these things, post was to make sure you guys knew that too! ;)
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: The 2020 thread....
October 31, 2020 at 12:27 AM UTC
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So you bothered that FB blocked Biden ads?
Personally I am not, but I have had bad takes before
And baby Trump is in Arlington’s
https://twitter.com/arlingtondems/status/1322333775808909319?s=21