Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: The 2020 thread....
November 04, 2020 at 02:33 PM UTC
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Biden takes the lead in Michigan:
Biden 2,511,077 49.4%
Trump 2,497,873 49.1%
hutch
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: The 2020 thread....
November 04, 2020 at 02:38 PM UTC
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Yup Biden ahead in both MI and WI
If you give in to this whole we were going to trash him and I feel sad baloney you are just being a defeatist …the object is to win the presidency…
Arizona was huge…
hutch
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: The 2020 thread....
November 04, 2020 at 02:41 PM UTC
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66.9% turnout
160 million votes
Highest turnout in 120 years
(Per Michael McDonald of vote project)
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: The 2020 thread....
November 04, 2020 at 02:41 PM UTC
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Space wrote:
Julian, wrote:
Looking at raw vote counts and what's left uncounted in Wake and Mecklenberg, I see no path to Biden getting NC barring an absolute flood of absentee ballots arriving between now and the 10th.
Same deal with their Senate race? Playboy should have kept it in his pants.
He's trailing Biden by about 1%, so yeah, he's likely done. Peters should pull out MI. Kelly should have AZ.
Not clear what is going on with Collins in Maine due to ranked choice voting, but assuming she wins, it'd be GOP 50-Dems 48 and two runoffs in Georgia.
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: The 2020 thread....
November 04, 2020 at 02:44 PM UTC
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bitter wrote:
Arizona was huge…
Agreed. Really want to see proof that NV is sticking (the demographics of the outstanding ballots are ++ – update tonite) and would love to see a news agency other than AP and Fox call AZ for Biden but this is looking good, barring judicial shenangians.
NY Times stating both campaigns expect MI and WI to be called early-afternoon, and likely for Biden. That puts us at 270 if everything holds. Would love some insurance runs in GA (which the NYT "Needle" is still saying is likely tracking to Biden by 0.5%) or PA but non-judicial-hijinks paths are closing for Trump.
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: The 2020 thread....
November 04, 2020 at 03:07 PM UTC
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Y'all should check out
this data science bro's work for the NYT analyzing where the remaining ballots are and predicting them out. If his PA analysis is on, I'm getting the Johnnie Walker Blue out.
challenged
Joined: September 25, 2003 at 05:01 AM UTC
Posts: 3116
Re: The 2020 thread....
November 04, 2020 at 03:16 PM UTC
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challenged
Joined: September 25, 2003 at 05:01 AM UTC
Posts: 3116
Re: The 2020 thread....
November 04, 2020 at 04:01 PM UTC
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Ween or Loose: Biden will have the most votes in US Electoral history.
Space Freely
Joined: December 13, 2014 at 07:28 PM UTC
Posts: 11019
Re: The 2020 thread....
November 04, 2020 at 04:32 PM UTC
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Looks like Peters (D) could lose his Senate seat in Michigan (?)
vansmack
Joined: October 04, 2001 at 05:01 AM UTC
Posts: 19725
Re: The 2020 thread....
November 04, 2020 at 04:36 PM UTC
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Julian, Adroit TASTEMAKER wrote: I'm getting the Johnnie Walker Blue out.
Glenlivet 25 year last night around 2AM.
Biden is Winning. Act Like it.
challenged
Joined: September 25, 2003 at 05:01 AM UTC
Posts: 3116
Re: The 2020 thread....
November 04, 2020 at 04:53 PM UTC
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Wisconsin Elections Administrator: Wisconsin to JB.
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: The 2020 thread....
November 04, 2020 at 05:04 PM UTC
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Space wrote:
Looks like Peters (D) could lose his Senate seat in Michigan (?)
Still a ton of Wayne County and Kalamazoo votes outstanding. He’s probably ok but there were definitely some voters who went Biden but not Peters.
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: The 2020 thread....
November 04, 2020 at 05:05 PM UTC
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vansmack wrote:
Julian, Adroit TASTEMAKER wrote: I'm getting the Johnnie Walker Blue out.
Glenlivet 25 year last night around 2AM.
Biden is Winning. Act Like it.
A better scotch by a mile but lacks the blue tie-in.
Biden is almost certainly winning, that is correct. Pennsylvania is going blue.
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: The 2020 thread....
November 04, 2020 at 05:11 PM UTC
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There was way too much hubris in the senate for Dems (maybe by me only)
Knew Jones didn't have a chance
But I thought for sure that Collins and Ernst were done…but Trump voters came out in those states
Also thought Espy had a decent chance…but trounced like Ossof
I don't think Warnock is going to be able to win in a run off at all
Boiller in KS got shellacked
Cal, just couldn't keep it in his pants…fucked it all up, but Trump really got the vote out in NC
Does that even get 50? I know we get the the VP with Biden
hutch
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: The 2020 thread....
November 04, 2020 at 05:13 PM UTC
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Too early for post mortem hatch
You are too bitter
If we made Trump a one term president- and I think we have- that is huge. A huge accomplishment
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: The 2020 thread....
November 04, 2020 at 05:14 PM UTC
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Jus the right time for a little moist partem though.
kosmo
Joined: September 23, 1999 at 05:01 AM UTC
Posts: 16329
Re: The 2020 thread....
November 04, 2020 at 05:54 PM UTC
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challenged wrote:
Ween or Loose: Biden will have the most votes in US Electoral history.
Wow you have the best autocorrects :)
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: The 2020 thread....
November 04, 2020 at 06:18 PM UTC
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bitter wrote:
If we made Trump a one term president- and I think we have- that is huge. A huge accomplishment
I agree…but the just barely part makes me depressed. I wanted a mandate like winning the popular by 10million
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: The 2020 thread....
November 04, 2020 at 06:21 PM UTC
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Non-scalable-hatch wrote:
bitter wrote:
If we made Trump a one term president- and I think we have- that is huge. A huge accomplishment
I agree…but the just barely part makes me depressed. I wanted a mandate like winning the popular by 10million
I did too but honestly, if is by a narrow margin, it makes me feel good about the time I took off from work and phone banked, and the money I gave specifically to ActBlue in states like MI and GA that is going to fuel this. This an election that if we worked 10% less hard, we lose. But we didn't.
EDIT: Call me crazy, but I don't think an 8 million popular vote margin is out of play. Tons of CA and NY and MD/NOVA votes left to count.