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The 2020 thread....

Space Freely
Joined: December 13, 2014 at 07:28 PM UTC
Posts: 11019
Re: The 2020 thread.... November 04, 2020 at 05:11 AM UTC #
That RCP doesn't include NV. If he takes NV,AZ, and WI, he only needs one of PA or MI.
hutch
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: The 2020 thread.... November 04, 2020 at 05:21 AM UTC #
I know…

When I try to drill down numbers in PA I am not feeling confident but it’s hard to make sense of things unless you are a real number cruncher and know these states

Best shot for Biden is NV + AZ + WI + MI + a district elector in ME or NE

It’s that simple

The toughest piece of that is Michigan



jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: The 2020 thread.... November 04, 2020 at 05:22 AM UTC #
Don’t look now but the NYT “needle” is now predicting GA to Biden based on pretty much all the outstanding vote being in metro Atlanta.

Hold onto your butts.
Space Freely
Joined: December 13, 2014 at 07:28 PM UTC
Posts: 11019
Re: The 2020 thread.... November 04, 2020 at 05:28 AM UTC #
Julian, wrote:
Don’t look now but the NYT “needle” is now predicting GA to Biden based on pretty much all the outstanding vote being in metro Atlanta.

Hold onto your butts.


Just came to post that. Stacey Abrams could be our hero.
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: The 2020 thread.... November 04, 2020 at 05:38 AM UTC #
PA is a who knows. The outstanding ballots are overwhelmingly in Dem areas.

This is starting to look better for Biden. Fox has him at 237 with Nevada, Georgia,  MI, PA, Wisconsin and the two single district electoral votes left in play. (They’ve called AZ, MN, and HI for him).
hutch
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: The 2020 thread.... November 04, 2020 at 05:44 AM UTC #
Don’t rule out Fox retracting it’s AZ call….
jrpa
Joined: September 03, 2013 at 03:15 PM UTC
Posts: 29999
Re: The 2020 thread.... November 04, 2020 at 05:45 AM UTC #
bitter wrote:
Don’t rule out Fox retracting it’s AZ call….
I’ve seen nothing that would lead me to believe that’s getting retracted. I’m surprised more agencies haven’t followed suit.
hutch
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: The 2020 thread.... November 04, 2020 at 06:12 AM UTC #
It seems like if Biden wins he will have to deal with a R Senate until at least 2022
I don’t think we can pick up a seat in GA

It’s the least of my concerns. Biden must win and be inaugurated January 2021.

hutch
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: The 2020 thread.... November 04, 2020 at 06:46 AM UTC #
Biden leading Nevada with 74% of vote in I think


If Biden wins Nevada he needs two of: PA, WI, GA and MI


Trump needs three of those

That seems to be situation
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: The 2020 thread.... November 04, 2020 at 06:56 AM UTC #
bitter wrote:

This is no repudiation of Trump…far from it…


agree
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: The 2020 thread.... November 04, 2020 at 07:00 AM UTC #
Bullock lost in MO thought that was going to be an easy win
hutch
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: The 2020 thread.... November 04, 2020 at 07:03 AM UTC #
Looking at the positive I think Biden can win this


I actually think he is in better shape than Trump… unless I am misreading the maps Biden is going to win Nevada
hutch
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: The 2020 thread.... November 04, 2020 at 07:04 AM UTC #
Non-scalable-hatch wrote:
Bullock lost in MO thought that was going to be an easy win


No way … he was underdog as far as I know…


We are not getting Senate… Ernst won IA and Tillis going to take NC

We just need Biden to win
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: The 2020 thread.... November 04, 2020 at 07:21 AM UTC #
2:20 AM and Trump is speaking…y.i.k.e.s.
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: The 2020 thread.... November 04, 2020 at 07:24 AM UTC #
can't catch us…
hutch
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: The 2020 thread.... November 04, 2020 at 07:28 AM UTC #
Just ignore him


Just as Biden didn’t win in a landslide neither did Trump


And Biden is going to get millions more votes

Once we count all the votes I like Biden’s chances but we all need to understand Trump is trying to frame this  like he is ahead

He is not ahead. We haven’t counted the votes.
Sidehatch
Joined: October 04, 2011 at 04:33 AM UTC
Posts: 25687
Re: The 2020 thread.... November 04, 2020 at 07:29 AM UTC #
asking for counting to stop
hutch
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: The 2020 thread.... November 04, 2020 at 07:34 AM UTC #
Who cares? The governors of PA, MI and WI are all democrats…

The votes will be counted

Georgia too


It’s a nonstarter


Ignore him. He wants you to focus on him and defer to him.

That’s not the way it works.
hutch
Joined: Unknown
Posts: 0
Re: The 2020 thread.... November 04, 2020 at 07:43 AM UTC #
Even NC isn’t clear….


Everybody neeeds to chill out , ignore the clown President , and wait








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